Comparative community burden and severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza: results of the Flu Watch cohort study

Lancet Respiratory Medicine,The - Tập 2 - Trang 445-454 - 2014
Andrew C Hayward1, Ellen B Fragaszy1, Alison Bermingham2, Lili Wang3, Andrew Copas1, W John Edmunds4, Neil Ferguson5, Nilu Goonetilleke3,6, Gabrielle Harvey1, Jana Kovar1, Megan S C Lim1,7, Andrew McMichael3, Elizabeth R C Millett1,4, Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam8, Irwin Nazareth9, Richard Pebody10, Faiza Tabassum1, John M Watson10, Fatima B Wurie1, Anne M Johnson1
1UCL Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
2Respiratory Virus Unit, Public Health England, Colindale, UK
3Weatherall Institute of Molecular Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
4Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
5Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK
6Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
7Centre for Population Health, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
8Health Protection and Influenza Research Group, Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
9UCL Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK
10Respiratory Diseases Department, Public Health England, Colindale, UK

Tài liệu tham khảo

Nguyen-Van-Tam, 2003, The epidemiology and clinical impact of pandemic influenza, Vaccine, 21, 1762, 10.1016/S0264-410X(03)00069-0 Luk, 2001, Observations on mortality during the 1918 influenza pandemic, Clin Infect Dis, 33, 1375, 10.1086/322662 Oxford, 2000, Influenza A pandemics in the 20th century with special reference to 1918: virology, pathology and epidemiology, Rev Med Virol, 10, 119, 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1654(200003/04)10:2<119::AID-RMV272>3.0.CO;2-O Dawood, 2012, Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study, Lancet Infect Dis, 12, 687, 10.1016/S1473-3099(12)70121-4 2011, Review of the 2010–2011 winter influenza season, northern hemisphere, Wkly Epidemiol Rec, 86, 222 Mytton, 2012, Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in England, 2009 to 2011: a greater burden of severe illness in the year after the pandemic than in the pandemic year, Euro Surveill, 17, 11, 10.2807/ese.17.14.20139-en 2011 Garske, 2009, Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic, BMJ, 339, b2840, 10.1136/bmj.b2840 Laurie, 2013, Influenza serological studies to inform public health action: best practices to optimise timing, quality and reporting, Influenza Other Respir Viruses, 7, 211, 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.0370a.x Brooks-Pollock, 2011, Using an online survey of healthcare-seeking behaviour to estimate the magnitude and severity of the 2009 H1N1v influenza epidemic in England, BMC Infect Dis, 11, 68, 10.1186/1471-2334-11-68 Fiore, 2010, Prevention and control of influenza with vaccines: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2010, MMWR Recomm Rep, 59, 1 Dingle, 1953, A study of illness in a group of Cleveland families. 1. Plan of study and certain general observations, Am J Hyg, 58, 16 Elveback, 1966, The Virus Watch program: a continuing surveillance of viral infections in metropolitan New York families. 3. Preliminary report on association of infections with disease, Am J Epidemiol, 83, 436, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a120596 Monto, 1975, The Tecumseh Study of Respiratory Illness. IX. Occurrence of influenza in the community, 1966–1971, Am J Epidemiol, 102, 553, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112193 Monto, 1994, Studies of the community and family: acute respiratory illness and infection, Epidemiol Rev, 16, 351, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.epirev.a036158 Horby, 2012, The epidemiology of interpandemic and pandemic influenza in Vietnam, 2007–2010: the Ha Nam household cohort study I, Am J Epidemiol, 175, 1062, 10.1093/aje/kws121 Riley, 2011, Epidemiological characteristics of 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza based on paired sera from a longitudinal community cohort study, PLoS Med, 8, e1000442, 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000442 Kieffer, 2013, 2009 A(H1N1) seroconversion rates and risk factors among the general population in Vientiane Capital, Laos, PLoS One, 8, e61909, 10.1371/journal.pone.0061909 Chen, 2010, 2009 influenza A(H1N1) seroconversion rates and risk factors among distinct adult cohorts in Singapore, JAMA, 303, 1383, 10.1001/jama.2010.404 Khuntirat B, Yoon IK, Krueger W, et al. Pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infections among villagers living in rural Thailand. 15th International Congress on Infectious Diseases; Bankok, Thailand; June 13–16, 2012. Koita, 2012, A seroepidemiological study of pandemic A/H1N1(2009) influenza in a rural population of Mali, Clin Microbiol Infect, 18, 976, 10.1111/j.1469-0691.2011.03725.x Van Kerkhove, 2013, Estimating age-specific cumulative incidence for the 2009 influenza pandemic: a meta-analysis of A(H1N1)pdm09 serological studies from 19 countries, Influenza Other Respir Viruses, 7, 872, 10.1111/irv.12074 Klick, 2012, Optimal design of studies of influenza transmission in households. I: case-ascertained studies, Epidemiol Infect, 140, 106, 10.1017/S0950268811000392 Klick, 2013, Optimal design of studies of influenza transmission in households. II: comparison between cohort and case-ascertained studies, Epidemiol Infect Gregory, 2009 Ellis, 2009, Evaluation of four real-time PCR assays for detection of influenza A(H1N1)v viruses, Euro Surveill, 14, 19230, 10.2807/ese.14.22.19230-en Stephenson, 2009, Neuraminidase inhibitor resistance after oseltamivir treatment of acute influenza A and B in children, Clin Infect Dis, 48, 389, 10.1086/596311 Zambon, 2001, Diagnosis of influenza in the community: relationship of clinical diagnosis to confirmed virological, serologic, or molecular detection of influenza, Arch Intern Med, 161, 2116, 10.1001/archinte.161.17.2116 Miller, 2010, Incidence of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 infection in England: a cross-sectional serological study, Lancet, 375, 1100, 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)62126-7 Monto, 1985, Tecumseh study of illness. XIII. Influenza infection and disease, 1976–1981, Am J Epidemiol, 121, 811, 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114052 Spyridaki, 2009, Comparison of four nasal sampling methods for the detection of viral pathogens by RT-PCR-A GA(2)LEN project, J Virol Methods, 156, 102, 10.1016/j.jviromet.2008.10.027 Heikkinen, 2001, Comparative study of nasopharyngeal aspirate and nasal swab specimens for detection of influenza, BMJ, 322, 138, 10.1136/bmj.322.7279.138 Dhiman, 2012, Effectiveness of patient-collected swabs for influenza testing, Mayo Clinic Proc, 87, 548, 10.1016/j.mayocp.2012.02.011 Cooper, 2008, Linking syndromic surveillance with virological self-sampling, Epidemiol Infect, 136, 222, 10.1017/S0950268807008412 Lackenby, 2013, Virological self-sampling to monitor influenza antiviral susceptibility in a community cohort, J Antimicrob Chemother, 68, 2324, 10.1093/jac/dkt203 Cowling, 2012, Increased risk of noninfluenza respiratory virus infections associated with receipt of inactivated influenza vaccine, Clin Infect Dis, 54, 1778, 10.1093/cid/cis307 Ellis, 2011, Virological analysis of fatal influenza cases in the United Kingdom during the early wave of influenza in winter 2010/11, Euro Surveill, 16, 2 Birrell, 2011, Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 108, 18238, 10.1073/pnas.1103002108 Carrat, 2008, Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies, Am J Epidemiol, 167, 775, 10.1093/aje/kwm375