Future changes in coverage of 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming thresholds
Tài liệu tham khảo
IPCC. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change [Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al., (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA; 2013, 1535.
Gao, 2012, Climate change in China in the 21st century as simulated by a high resolution regional climate model, Chin Sci Bull, 57, 1188, 10.1007/s11434-011-4935-8
Zhao, 2013, Simulation of historical and projected climate change in arid and semiarid areas by CMIP5 models, Chin Sci Bull, 59, 412, 10.1007/s11434-013-0003-x
Dong, 2013
Chen, 2013, Projected change in extreme rainfall events in China by the end of the 21st century using CMIP5 models, Chin Sci Bull, 58, 1462, 10.1007/s11434-012-5612-2
Dong, 2016
Yang, 2016, Global warming projections using the human–earth system model BNU-HESM1.0, Sci Bull, 61, 1833, 10.1007/s11434-016-1176-x
Meinshausen, 2009, Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C, Nature, 458, 1158, 10.1038/nature08017
UNFCCC. United nations framework convention on climate change: report of the conference of the parties on its sixteenth session, held in cancun from 29 november to 10 december 2010. Available at http://unfcccint/resource/docs/2010/cop16/eng/07a01pdf#page=2 2011.
UNFCCC. United nations framework convention on climate change: Report of the conference of the parties on its fifteenth session, held in copenhagen from 7 to 19 december 2009. Available at http://unfcccint/resource/docs/2009/cop15/eng/11a01pdf#page=43 2010.
Mann, 2009, Defining dangerous anthropogenic interference, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 106, 4065, 10.1073/pnas.0901303106
UNFCCC. United nations framework convention on climate change: Report of the conference of the parties on its twenty-first session, held in paris from 30 november to 11 december 2015: Adoption of paris agreement. Available at: http://unfcccint/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09pdf 2015.
Rogelj, 2013, Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation, Nature, 493, 79, 10.1038/nature11787
Rogelj, 2011, Emission pathways consistent with a 2 °C global temperature limit, Nat Clim Change, 1, 413, 10.1038/nclimate1258
Allen, 2009, Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne, Nature, 458, 1163, 10.1038/nature08019
Matthews, 2012, Cumulative carbon as a policy framework for achieving climate stabilization, Philos Trans Royal Soc, 370, 4365, 10.1098/rsta.2012.0064
Raupach, 2014, Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions, Nat Clim Change, 4, 873, 10.1038/nclimate2384
Cherubini, 2014, Linearity between temperature peak and bioenergy CO2 emission rates, Nat Clim Change, 4, 983, 10.1038/nclimate2399
Smith, 2012, Equivalence of greenhouse-gas emissions for peak temperature limits, Nat Clim Change, 2, 535, 10.1038/nclimate1496
Matthews, 2009, The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions, Nature, 459, 829, 10.1038/nature08047
Tian, 2016, Climate system responses to a common emission budget of carbon dioxide, J Clim, 29, 2433, 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0213.1
Schleussner, 2015, Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, Earth Sys Dyn Discuss, 6, 2447, 10.5194/esdd-6-2447-2015
Vautard, 2014, The european climate under a 2 °C global warming, Environ Res Lett, 9, 034006, 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034006
Karmalkar, 2017, Consequences of global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for regional temperature and precipitation changes in the contiguous United States, PLoS One, 12, e0168697, 10.1371/journal.pone.0168697
Lang, 2013, Changes in mean and extreme climates over China with a 2 °C global warming, Chin Sci Bull, 58, 1453, 10.1007/s11434-012-5520-5
Kaplan, 2006, Arctic climate change with a 2 °C global warming: timing, climate patterns and vegetation change, Clim Change, 79, 213, 10.1007/s10584-006-9113-7
Jiang, 2016, Timing and associated climate change of a 2 °C global warming, Int J Climatol, 36, 4512, 10.1002/joc.4647
Jiang, 2012, Climate change over China with a 2 °C global warming, Chinese J Atmos Sci, 36, 234
Hu, 2017, Temperature and precipitation projection at 1.5 °C and 2 °C increase in global mean temperature, Chin Sci Bull, 62, 3098, 10.1360/N972016-01234
Schaeffer, 2012, Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming levels, Nat Clim Change, 2, 867, 10.1038/nclimate1584
Wang, 2017, Continued increase of extreme El Niño frequency long after 1.5 °C warming stabilization, Nat Clim Change, 7, 568, 10.1038/nclimate3351
Wang, 2017, Variation of the extreme low-temperature events and farmland exposure under global warming of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C, Acta Meteor Sin, 75, 415
Li, 2017, Changes of extreme indices over China in response to 1.5 °C global warming projected by a regional climate model, Adv Earth Sci, 32, 446
Joshi, 2011, Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, Nat Clim Change, 1, 407, 10.1038/nclimate1261
Sui, 2014, Time of emergence of climate signals over China under the RCP4.5 scenario, Clim Change, 125, 265, 10.1007/s10584-014-1151-y
Jiang, 2009, Ensemble projection of 1–3 °C warming in China, Chin Sci Bull, 54, 3326, 10.1007/s11434-009-0313-1
Zhang, 2012, Projections of 2.0 °C warming over the globe and China under RCP4.5, Atmos Ocean Sci Lett, 5, 514, 10.1080/16742834.2012.11447047
Zhang, 2013, The 21st century annual mean surface air temperature change and the 2 °C warming threshold over the globe and China as projected by the CMIP5 models, Acta Meteor Sin, 71, 1047
Chen, 2016, Uncertainty in crossing time of 2 °C warming threshold over China, Sci Bull, 61, 1451, 10.1007/s11434-016-1166-z
Tian, 2015, Future changes and uncertainties in temperature and precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models, Adv Atmos Sci, 32, 487, 10.1007/s00376-014-4102-7
Wang, 2013, A CMIP5 multimodel projection of future temperature, precipitation, and climatological drought in China, Int J Climatol, 34, 2059, 10.1002/joc.3822
Zhou, 2006, Twentieth-century surface air temperature over China and the globe simulated by coupled climate models, J Clim, 19, 5843, 10.1175/JCLI3952.1
Li, 2010, Projected climate change over China under SRES A1B scenario: multi-model ensemble and uncertainties, Adv Clim Change Res, 6, 270