China’s regional drought risk under climate change: a two-stage process assessment approach

Adger WN (2006) Vulnerability. Global Environ Change 16(3):268–281 Blaikie P, Cannon T, Davis I, Wisner B (1994) At risk: natural hazards, people’s vulnerability, and disasters. Routledge, London Brooks N, Adger WN, Kelly PM (2005) The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation. Global Environ Change 15(2):151–163 Burke EJ, Brown SJ, Christidis N (2006) Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the twenty-first century with the Hadley Center climate model. J Hydrometeorol 7(5):1113–1125 Charnes A, Cooper WW, Rhodes E (1978) Measuring the efficiency of decision making units. Eur J Oper Res 2(6):429–444 Chen Y, Shu LC, Burbey TJ (2014) An integrated risk assessment model of township-scaled land subsidence based on an evidential reasoning algorithm and fuzzy set theory. Risk Anal 34(4):656–669 China Meteorological Administration (2006) Classification of meteorological drought. Standards Press of China, Beijing (in Chinese) Cong RG, Wei YM (2012) Experimental comparison of impact of auction format on carbon allowance market. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 16(6):4148–4156 Cong RG, Hedlund K, Andersson H, Brady M (2014a) Managing soil natural capital: an effective strategy for mitigating future agricultural risks? Agric Syst 129:30–39 Cong RG, Smith HG, Olsson O, Brady M (2014b) Managing ecosystem services for agriculture: Will landscape-scale management pay? Ecol Econ 99:53–62 Dai AG (2013) Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat Clim Change 3:52–58 Etkin D, Medalye J, Higuchi K (2012) Climate warming and natural disaster management: an exploration of the issues. Clim Change 112(3–4):585–599 Füssel HM (2007) Vulnerability: a generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research. Global Environ Change 17(2):155–167 Hirabayashi Y, Kanae S, Emori S, Oki T, Kimoto M (2008) Global projections of changing risks of floods and droughts in a changing climate. Hydrol Sci J 53(4):754–772 Huang DP, Zhang RH, Huo ZG, Mao F, Youhao E, Zheng W (2012) An assessment of multidimensional flood vulnerability at the provincial scale in China based on the DEA method. Nat Hazards 64(2):1575–1586 Huang JY, Liu Y, Ma L, Su F (2013) Methodology for the assessment and classification of regional vulnerability to natural hazards in China: the application of a DEA model. Nat Hazards 65(1):115–134 IPCC (2007) Climate change: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge IPCC (2012) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Kebede AS, Nicholls RJ (2012) Exposure and vulnerability to climate extremes: population and asset exposure to coastal flooding in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Reg Environ Change 12(1):81–94 Kjellström T, Corvalán C (1995) Framework for the development of environmental health indicators. World Health Stat Q 48(2):144–154 Li YJ, Chen Y, Liang L, Xie JH (2012) DEA models for extended two-stage network structures. Omega 40(5):611–618 Li GF, Xiang XY, Tong YY, Wang HM (2013) Impact assessment of urbanization on flood risk in the Yangtze River Delta. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 27(7):1683–1693 Liang L, Cook WD, Zhu J (2008) DEA models for two-stage processes: game approach and efficiency decomposition. Nav Res Logist 55(7):643–653 Liu KFR, Ko CY, Fan C, Chen CW (2013a) Incorporating the LCIA concept into fuzzy risk assessment as a tool for environmental impact assessment. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 27:849–866 Liu XQ, Wang YL, Peng J, Braimoh AK, Yin H (2013b) Assessing vulnerability to drought based on exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity: a case study in middle Inner Mongolia of China. Chin Geogr Sci 23(1):13–25 McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Preprints eighth conference on applied climatology, Anaheim, CA. American Meteor Society, pp 179–184 Menoni S, Molinari D, Parker D, Ballio F, Tapsell S (2012) Assessing multifaceted vulnerability and resilience in order to design risk-mitigation strategies. Nat Hazards 64(3):2057–2082 Ministry of Water Resources of China (2011) National anti-drought plan (in Chinese) Nam WH, Choi JY, Yoo SH, Jang MW (2012) A decision support system for agricultural drought management using risk assessment. Paddy Water Environ, 10(3):197–207 Ni JR, Sun LY, Li TH, Huang Z, Borthwick AGL (2010) Assessmen t of flooding impacts in terms of sustainability in mainland China. J Environ Manag 91:1930–1942 OECD (1993) OECD core set of indicators for environmental performance reviews. Environment Monographs 83, Paris Pirrone N, Trombino G, Cinnirella S, Algieri A, Bendoricchio G, Palmeri L (2005) The Driver–Pressure–State–Impact–Response (DPSIR) approach for integrated catchment–coastal zone management: preliminary application to the Po catchment-Adriatic Sea coastal zone system. Reg Environ Change 5(2–3):111–137 Polsky C, Neff R, Yarnal B (2007) Building comparable global change vulnerability assessments: the vulnerability scoping diagram. Global Environ Change 17(3–4):472–485 Prabhakar SVRK, Shaw R (2008) Climate change adaptation implications for drought risk mitigation: a perspective for India. Clim Change 88(2):113–130 Shahid S, Behrawan H (2008) Drought risk assessment in the western part of Bangladesh. Nat Hazards 46(3):391–413 State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2007) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2006. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2008) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2007. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2009) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2008. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2010) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2009. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2011) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2010. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, Ministry of Water Resources of China (2012) Bulletin of flood and drought disaster in China 2011. China Water & Power Press, Beijing (in Chinese) Todisco F, Mannocchi F, Vergni L (2013) Severity–duration–frequency curves in the mitigation of drought impact: an agricultural case study. Nat Hazards 65(3):1863–1881 UN/ISDR (2004) Living with risk: a global review of disaster reduction initiatives. United Nations Publications, Geneva Villholth KG, Tøttrup C, Stendel M, Maherry A (2013) Integrated mapping of groundwater drought risk in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. Hydrogeol J 21(4):863–885 Wei YM, Fan Y, Lu C, Tsai HT (2004) The assessment of vulnerability to natural disasters in China by using the DEA method. Environ Impact Assess Rev 24(4):427–439 Yevjevich V (1967) An objective approach to definitions and investigation of continental hydrologic droughts, hydrology papers 23. Colorado State University, Fort Collins Yin J, Yin ZE, Xu SY (2013) Composite risk assessment of typhoon-induced disaster for China’s coastal area. Nat Hazards 69:1423–1434 Yuan XC, Wang Q, Wang K, Wang B, Jin JL, Wei YM (2013a) China’s regional vulnerability to drought and its mitigation strategies under climate change: data envelopment analysis and analytic hierarchy process integrated approach. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change. doi:10.1007/s11027-013-9494-7 Yuan XC, Zhou YL, Jin JL, Wei YM (2013b) Risk analysis for drought hazard in China: a case study in Huaibei Plain. Nat Hazards 67(2):879–900 Zou LL, Wei YM (2009) Impact assessment using DEA of coastal hazards on social-economy in Southeast Asia. Nat Hazards 48(2):167–189