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of ultraviolet radiation (UVA) at the Earth’s surface is of great importance in different technological and scientific applications. In this study, UVA (315–400 nm) and global solar radiation (G, 400–1100 nm) data from Riyadh (Central Saudi Arabia) for the period between 2015 and April 2020 are used to characterize the UVA at different cloudiness levels. The sky was classified into several categories according to the clearness index. For all sky conditions, the mean values of UVA, G, and the ratio UVA\u002FG were 11.58 ± 6.1 W\u002Fm2, 549.35 ± 264.55 W\u002Fm2, and 0.021 ± 0.003, respectively. While the mean UVA and G values under totally overcast skies were 5.51 ± 2.7 W\u002Fm2 and 267.90120.44 W\u002Fm2, respectively, the UVA was 21.63 ± 2.14 W\u002Fm2 and G was 933.19 ± 39.94 under clear skies. For partly cloudy skies, the amount of UVA and G increases as the sky gets clearer. The annual mean value of UVA decreased gradually from 2016 to 2018. In comparison with the mean value of UVA in 2016, the mean values of UVA were down about 7% and 18% in 2017 and 2018, respectively. This may be due to the heavy dust storms that occurred in those two years. The monthly and hourly variations in UVA and G are investigated and discussed. The distribution of the monthly values of UVA and G exhibits high symmetry. The UVA and G are at the maximum in summer and the minimum in winter. The amount of radiation appears similar in spring and summer and in autumn and winter. This may be explained by the seasonal symmetry of the summer and winter solstices. The hourly variations in the average UVA and G attain their minimum values in the early morning (06:00 local time) and reach their maximum values at around midday. Finally, several empirical models relating ultraviolet (UV), with solar global radiation (G), and the clearness index (Kt) under all sky conditions are established. The results reveal that the proposed empirical models accurately predict hourly values.",{"EN":269,"VI":270},"Characterization of ultraviolet radiation (UVA) in the desert climate of the Central Arabian Peninsula","Đặc trưng hóa bức xạ tử ngoại (UVA) trong khí hậu sa mạc tại miền trung bán đảo Ả Rập",{"VOID":272},"Alados I, Mellado J, Ramos F, Alados-Arboledas I (2004) Estimating UV erythemal irradiance by means of neural networks. J Photochem Photobiol 80:351–358\nAl-Aruri SD (1990) The empirical relationship between global radiation and global ultraviolet (0.290–0.385) mm solar radiation components. Sol Energy 45:61–64\nBilbao J, Mateos D, Miguel A (2011) Analysis and cloudiness influence on UV total irradiation. Int J Climatol 31:451–460\nBarbero FJ, López G, Batles FJ (2006) Determination of daily solar ultraviolet radiation using statistical models and artificial neural networks. Ann Geophys 24:2105–2114\nBilbao J et al (2015) Global, diffuse, beam and ultraviolet solar irradiance recorded in Malta and atmospheric component influences under cloudless skies. Sol Energy 121:131–138\nCañada J, Pedros G, Bosca J (2003) Relationships between UV (0.290-0.385 μm) and broad band solar radiation hourly values in Valencia and Córdoba. Spain Energy 28:199–217\nCañada J, Pedrós G, López A, Boscà J (2000) Influence of the clearness index for the whole spectrum and of the relative optical air mass on UV solar irradiance for two locations in the Mediterranean area, Valencia and Córdoba. J of Geophys Res 110:4759–4766\nCasale G, Meloni D, Miano S, Palmieri S, Siani A (2000) Solar UV-B irradiance and total ozone in Italy: fluctuations and trends. J Geophys Res 105:4895–4901\nDi Sarra A, Cacciani M, Chamard P et al (2018) Effects of desert dust on ozone on the ultraviolet irradiance at the Mediterranean island of Lampedusa during PAUR II. J Geophys Res 107(D18):2–14\nDiffey B (1991) Solar ultraviolet effects on biological systems. Phys Med Biol 36:299–328\nFeister U, Grasnick KH (1992) Solar UV radiation measurements at Postdam (528229N, 13859E). Sol Energy 49:541–548\nFioletov E et al (2009) On the relationship between erythemal and vitamin D action spectrum weighted ultraviolet radiation. J Photochem Photobiol B 95:9–16\nFoyo-Moreno I, Vida J, Alados-Arboledas L (1999) A simple all weather model to estimate ultraviolet solar radiation (290–385 nm). J Appl Meteorol 38:1020–1026\nFoyo-Moreno I, Alados I, Olmo F, Alados-Arboledas L (2003) The influence of cloudiness on UV global irradiance (295–385 nm). Agri and Forest Meteorol 120:101–111\nFoyo-Moreno I, Vida J, Alados-Arboledas I (1998) Ground-based ultraviolet (290–385 nm) and broadband solar radiation measurements in south-eastern Spain. Int J Climatol 18:1389–1400\nGueymard C (2004) The sun’s total and spectral irradiance for solar energy applications and solar radiation models. Sol Energy 76:423–453\nHe Y, Zheng Y, He D (2002) A summary of research on the effects of enhanced ultraviolet radiation on field ecosystems. Chinese J Agrometeorol 1:47–52\nIqbal M (1983) An introduction to solar radiation. Academic Press, New York\nJacovides C, Tymvios F, Assimakopoulos D et al (2009) Solar UVB (280–315 nm) and UVA (315–380 nm) radiant fluxes and their relationships with broadband global radiant flux at an eastern Mediterranean site. Agricultural and Forest Meteorol 149:1188–1200\nJacovides C, Tymvios F, Boland J, Tsitouri M (2015) Artificial neural network models for estimating daily solar global UV, PAR and broadband radiant fluxes in an eastern Mediterranean site. Atmos Res 152:138–145\nKaskaoutis D, Kambezidis H, Jacovides C, Steven M (2006) Modification of solar radiation components under different atmospheric conditions in the Greater Athens Area, Greece. J Atmos Sol-Terr Phys 68:1043–1052\nKrzyscin J, Puchalsky S (1998) Aerosol impact on the surface UV radiation from the groundbased measurements taken at Belsk. Poland J Geophys Res 103(D13):16175–16181\nKudish A, Lyubanksky V, Evseev E, Ianetz A (2005) Statistical analysis and intercomparison of the solar UVB, UVA and global radiation for Beer Sheva and Neve Zohar (Dead Sea), Israel. Ther Appl Climatol 80:1–15\nMacKie R (2006) Long-term health risk to the skin of ultraviolet radiation. Prog Biophys Mol Bio 92:92–96\nMaghrabi A (2012) Modification of the IR sky temperature under different atmospheric conditions in an arid region in central Saudi Arabia: experimental and theoretical justification. J Geophys Res 117:D19207\nMartinez-Lozano J, Tena F, Utrillas P (1996) Measurement and analysis of ultraviolet solar irradiation in Valencia. Spain in J Climatol 16:947–955\nMartínez-Lozano J, Tena F, Utrillas M (1999) Ratio of UV to global broad band irradiation in Valencia, Spain. Int J Climatol 19:903–911\nMateos D, Miguel A, Bilbao J (2010) Empirical models of UV total radiation and cloud effect study. J Climatol 30:1407–1415\nMurillo W, Cañada J, Pedrós G (2003) Correlation between global ultraviolet (290–385 nm) and global irradiation in Valencia and Córdoba (Spain). Renew Energy 28:409–418\nOgunjobi K, Kim Y (2004) Ultraviolet (0.280-0.400) and broadband solar hourly radiation at Kwangju, South Korea: analysis of their correlation with aerosol optical depth and clearness index. Atmos Res 71:193–214\nPashiardis S, Kalogirou SA, Pelengaris A (2017) Statistical analysis and inter-comparison of solar UV and global radiation for Athalassa and Larnaca. Cyprus SM J Biometrics Biostat 2(2):1012\nRobaa SM (2004) A study of ultraviolet solar radiation at Cairo urban area. Egypt Sol Energy 77:251–259\nRoyal Commission of Riyadh City (2020) Riyadh Environment. https:\u002F\u002Fwww.riyadhenv.gov.sa\u002F\nSkye Instrument (2014). http:\u002F\u002Fwww.skyeinstruments.info\u002Findex_htm_files\u002FUVA%20SENSOR%20v3.pdf\nHeuklon V (1979) Estimating atmospheric ozone for solar radiation models. Sol Energy 22:63\nZerefos CS, Bais AF (1997) Solar ultraviolet radiation, modeling, measurements and effects. 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Characterisation of Geophysical Measuring Networks and its Implication for an Optimal Location of Additional Stations: An Application to a Rain-Gauge Network","Xác định đặc trưng fractal của mạng lưới đo địa vật lý và ý nghĩa cho vị trí tối ưu của các trạm bổ sung: Ứng dụng cho mạng lưới đo mưa",{"VOID":386},"10.1007\u002Fs007040070040",{"EN":388}," The locations of measuring stations are often inhomogeneously distributed in space, possibly because of both geophysical interests and access problems. The areal inhomogeneity of a network can be well characterised by its fractal dimension, that is an index ranging progressively from 0 (when all stations are distributed on a single point or on isolated points) to 2 (when all stations are uniformly distributed). Appreciating the scaling region, inside which the station-co-ordinates are fractally distributed, provides valuable information both on the minimum detectable scale and on the minimum resolvable dimension. The increase in the measuring capability of a network must occur through its strategic enlargement resulting in a compromise between the fractal dimension increase and local topographic necessities. An application to a rain-gauge network belonging to the Naples Section of the Italian Hydrographic Service is reported.","VERIFIED","2025-01-20T18:03:49.316+00:00","Auto Verify",[277],"https:\u002F\u002Flink.springer.com\u002Farticle\u002F10.1007\u002Fs007040070040",[395,410],{"id":396,"sortIndex":21,"researcher":20,"roles":397,"affiliations":398,"properties":407,"displayName":409,"givenName":20,"familyName":20},"9c35a8f7-c639-4de5-b99b-345e808cf3c0",[283],[399],{"id":400,"sortIndex":21,"affiliation":401,"properties":20},"8c6e2ea5-d47a-443a-baf1-ac5cce03269f",{"id":400,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":402,"slug":20,"properties":403,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":406,"statistic":20},[],{"title":404},{"VI":405}," Department of Geophysics and Volcanology, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy, , IT",[],{"title":408},{"VI":409},"A. 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greenhouse effect from anthropogenic CO2 emissions into the atmosphere is currently determined at the level of expert assessments, and the unit of measurement of the effect of gases on the greenhouse effect is the one. The article is devoted to the establishment by mathematical methods of physical units of the greenhouse effect for CO2 and steam from H2O and their influence on the climate. From the formula of the radiation balance of the Earth’s surface, it is established that the radiation equilibrium of the surface and the atmosphere occurs in the evening. Data from Mars Pathfinder on this equilibrium were used to determine the unit greenhouse index for CO2, which was 0.0138 ± 0.001 K m2 kg−1. A similar indicator was found for H2O vapor equal to 0.0834 ± 0.005 K m2 kg−1 from the difference in temperature and humidity of desert and coastal areas of the same latitudinal zone. The value of the integral temperature index was determined by the method of mathematical statistics equal to 0.263 ± 0.021 K m2 kg−1 pair of H2O by the dependence of humidity from temperature. The greenhouse effect of CO2 and steam from H2O is insignificant due to the low average content. However, a slight temperature from anthropogenic CO2 concentration contributes to the formation of a small portion of steam. An increase in temperature from this steam gives a new portion of steam, and therefore, until noon, the additional steam content and heating of the atmosphere increase exponentially. The anthropogenic increase in CO2 caused a rising in the H2O vapor content in the atmosphere and from him the near-surface temperature by 1.43 ± 0.11, and for human habitation areas—by 1.55 ± 0.12 K. The results of this work can be used to predict climate change and take measures to neutralize it.",{"EN":486,"VI":487},"Unit indicators of the greenhouse effect for CO2 and steam from H2O and anthropogenic impact on the climate","Các chỉ số đơn vị của hiệu ứng nhà kính của CO2 và hơi nước từ H2O cùng tác động của con người lên khí hậu",{"VOID":489},"Climate Change (2013) Physical scientific basis. Summary for politicians. Fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, p 1522\nDemidov NE, Bazilevsky AT, Kuzmin RO (2015) The soil of Mars: varieties, structure, composition, physical properties, drill ability, hazards for landers. Astroph Herald 4:243–261\nDoustimotlagh N, Mirzaee S (2016) Increasing CO2 in atmosphere cannot increase the Earth’s temperature. Conference: World Conference on Climate change. At: Valencia, Spain, p 12\nIPCC report AR6 (2021) Climate Change: The on Climate change. The Physical Science Basis, p 221\nKhromov SP, Petrosyants MA (2006) Meteorology and climatology. Nauka, Russia, p 527\nMangold N, Baratoux D, Witasse O, Encrenaz T, Sotin C (2016) Mars: a small terrestrial planet. Astron Astrophys Rev 107. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1007\u002Fs00159-016-0099-5\nMartynov DY (1988) Course of general astrophysics. Nauka, Russia, p 640\nNeumann GA, Smith DE, Zuber MT (2003) Two Mars years of clouds detected by the Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter. J Geophys Res 4:1–17. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1029\u002F2002JE001849\nSchofield JT, Barnes JR, Crisp D, Haberte RM, Larsen S, Magalhaes JA, Murphy JR, Seiff A, Wilson G (1997) The Mars pathfinder atmospheric structure investigation Meteorology (ASI\u002FMET) Experiment. Science 5:1752–1758\nSivkov S (1968) Methods calculating the characteristics of solar radiation. Russia. Gidrom, p 234\nVorobyev VN, Sarukhanyan EI, Smirnov NP (2005) Global warming. Hypothesis or reality? Sci Notes RSSU Russia 1:6–21\nWang Z, Barlage M, Zeng X, Dickinson RE, Schaaf CB (2005) The solar zenith angle dependence of desert albedo. Geoph Res Lett 32:5403. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1029\u002F2004GL021835\nWillett KM, Jones PD, Gillett NP, Thorne PW (2008) Recent changes in surface humidity: development of the Had CRUH Dataset. J Clim 21:534–538\nZhmakin VM (2012) Estimation of the greenhouse effect from H2O and CO2 in the atmosphere. Bull State Munic Adm Russia 1:82–89\nZhmakin VM (2021) Synthesis and preservation of organic molecules with homochiral excess by adsorption on carbon in carbonaceous chondrites. Chem Scien Int J 10:46–53. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.9734\u002FCSJI\u002F2021\u002Fv30i1030259",{"VOID":491},"10.1007\u002Fs00704-023-04738-0","2025-02-12T08:08:05.311+00:00",[277],"https:\u002F\u002Flink.springer.com\u002Farticle\u002F10.1007\u002Fs00704-023-04738-0",[496],{"id":497,"sortIndex":21,"researcher":20,"roles":498,"affiliations":499,"properties":508,"displayName":510,"givenName":20,"familyName":20},"656098fd-1aa5-4aef-aaae-c3f13a7cc851",[283],[500],{"id":501,"sortIndex":21,"affiliation":502,"properties":20},"b4e77ed4-2f81-4485-81f6-096c3ce3d944",{"id":501,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":503,"slug":20,"properties":504,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":507,"statistic":20},[],{"title":505},{"VI":506},"Ministry of Ecology and Nature Management of the Moscow Region, Kursk, Russia",[],{"title":509},{"VI":510},"V. M. Zhmakin",{"url":494,"publisher":512,"properties":554},{"id":6,"createTime":7,"updateTime":8,"relativeEntities":513,"slug":10,"properties":514,"entityType":18,"verifyStatus":19,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":21,"subjectFields":518,"manageAffiliations":523,"indexDatabases":534,"url":20,"thumbnailPath":20,"statistic":549,"gsStatistic":20,"type":20,"analyzePriority":20},[],{"issn":515,"title":516,"eissn":517},{"VOID":13},{"EN":15},{"VOID":17},[519],{"id":24,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":520,"label":521,"description":522,"parentId":20,"standard":20,"scholarHubFieldId":20},[],{"EN":27},{},[524,529],{"id":31,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":525,"slug":20,"properties":526,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":528,"statistic":20},[],{"title":527},{"EN":35},[37],{"id":39,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":530,"slug":20,"properties":531,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":533,"statistic":20},[],{"title":532},{"EN":43},[37],[535,542],{"id":47,"indexDatabase":536,"url":58,"indexYears":59,"academicFieldIds":541,"indexDatabaseRanking":62},{"id":49,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":537,"label":538,"description":539,"key":55,"publicationTags":540,"standard":20},[],{"EN":52,"VI":52},{"EN":52,"VI":54},[57],[61],{"id":64,"indexDatabase":543,"url":77,"indexYears":20,"academicFieldIds":548,"indexDatabaseRanking":20},{"id":66,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":544,"label":545,"description":546,"key":73,"publicationTags":547,"standard":20},[],{"EN":69,"VI":69},{"EN":71,"VI":72},[75,76],[79],{"impactFactor":21,"impactFactorByYear":550,"i10Index":93,"i10IndexLast5Year":94,"totalPublication":95,"totalPublicationByYear":551,"totalCitation":147,"totalCitationByYear":552,"totalCitationPerPublication":192,"totalCitationPerPublicationByYear":553,"hindexLast5Year":130,"hindex":130},{"2012":82,"2013":83,"2014":84,"2015":85,"2016":86,"2017":87,"2018":84,"2019":88,"2020":89,"2021":90,"2022":91,"2023":92},{"1948":97,"1949":98,"1950":99,"1951":100,"1952":101,"1953":102,"1954":103,"1955":104,"1956":105,"1957":106,"1958":107,"1959":108,"1960":109,"1961":110,"1962":111,"1963":105,"1964":108,"1965":112,"1966":97,"1967":111,"1968":102,"1969":112,"1970":109,"1971":104,"1972":109,"1973":113,"1974":105,"1975":107,"1976":113,"1977":113,"1978":114,"1979":113,"1980":115,"1981":111,"1982":116,"1983":114,"1984":115,"1985":99,"1986":104,"1987":102,"1988":110,"1989":117,"1990":118,"1991":116,"1992":119,"1993":120,"1994":121,"1995":122,"1996":123,"1997":124,"1998":125,"1999":126,"2000":119,"2001":119,"2002":127,"2003":125,"2004":128,"2005":129,"2006":130,"2007":128,"2008":131,"2009":94,"2010":132,"2011":133,"2012":134,"2013":135,"2014":136,"2015":137,"2016":138,"2017":139,"2018":140,"2019":141,"2020":142,"2021":143,"2022":144,"2023":145,"2024":146},{"1948":149,"1949":149,"1951":114,"1952":108,"1953":107,"1954":150,"1955":105,"1956":101,"1957":113,"1958":97,"1959":99,"1960":151,"1961":101,"1962":152,"1964":153,"1965":111,"1967":125,"1968":100,"1969":127,"1970":119,"1971":104,"1972":107,"1973":125,"1974":154,"1975":102,"1976":155,"1977":156,"1978":157,"1979":158,"1980":151,"1986":120,"1987":151,"1988":159,"1989":119,"1990":160,"1991":98,"1992":161,"1993":162,"1994":163,"1995":164,"1996":165,"1997":166,"1998":167,"1999":94,"2000":168,"2001":169,"2002":170,"2003":171,"2004":172,"2005":173,"2006":174,"2007":175,"2008":176,"2009":177,"2010":178,"2011":179,"2012":180,"2013":181,"2014":182,"2015":183,"2016":184,"2017":185,"2018":186,"2019":187,"2020":188,"2021":189,"2022":190,"2023":191,"2024":108},{"1948":194,"1949":195,"1951":196,"1952":197,"1953":198,"1954":199,"1955":197,"1956":200,"1957":201,"1958":202,"1959":203,"1960":86,"1961":204,"1962":205,"1964":206,"1965":207,"1967":208,"1968":209,"1969":210,"1970":211,"1971":149,"1972":212,"1973":213,"1974":214,"1975":89,"1976":215,"1977":87,"1978":199,"1979":198,"1980":216,"1986":217,"1987":87,"1988":218,"1989":219,"1990":220,"1991":221,"1992":222,"1993":223,"1994":224,"1995":225,"1996":226,"1997":227,"1998":228,"1999":229,"2000":230,"2001":231,"2002":232,"2003":233,"2004":234,"2005":235,"2006":236,"2007":237,"2008":238,"2009":239,"2010":240,"2011":241,"2012":242,"2013":243,"2014":244,"2015":245,"2016":246,"2017":247,"2018":248,"2019":249,"2020":250,"2021":251,"2022":252,"2023":253,"2024":254},{"pages":555},{"VOID":556},"1-7","2023-11-30",2023,[62,75],{"id":561,"createTime":562,"updateTime":563,"relativeEntities":564,"slug":565,"properties":566,"entityType":275,"verifyStatus":389,"verifyTime":576,"verifyNote":391,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":577,"viewCount":21,"primaryUrl":578,"fullTextUrl":20,"authors":579,"publicationType":322,"publisherRelationship":657,"citationCount":20,"citationInfo":20,"publishDate":705,"publishYear":706,"citationAnalyzeStatus":19,"lastCitationAnalyze":20,"indexDatabases":707,"openAccess":20,"references":20,"isForceReanalyzing":374},"d6a0229c-d672-4094-a50d-e1721e6e278e","2024-01-01T16:03:58.544+00:00","2026-09-07T09:14:35.770+00:00",[],"Statistical-bias-correction-of-regional-climate-model-simulations-for-climate-change-projection-in-the-Jemma-sub-basin-upper-Blue-Nile-Basin-of-Ethiopia",{"abstract":567,"title":569,"references":572,"doi":574},{"EN":568},"This study evaluates bias correction methods and develops future climate scenarios using the output of a better bias correction technique at the Jemma sub-basin. The performance of different bias correction techniques was evaluated using several statistical metrics. The bias correction methods performance under climate condition different from the current climate was also evaluated using the differential split sample testing (DSST) and reveals that the distribution mapping technique is valid under climate condition different from the current climate. All bias correction methods were effective in adjusting mean monthly and annual RCM simulations of rainfall and temperature to the observed rainfall and temperature values. However, distribution mapping method was better in capturing the 90th percentile of observed rainfall and temperature and wet day probability of observed rainfall than other methods. As a result, we use the future (2021–2100) simulation of RCMs which are bias corrected using distribution mapping technique. The output of bias-adjusted RCMs unfolds a decline of rainfall, a persistent increase of temperature and an increase of extremes of rainfall and temperature in the future climate under emission scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5, 8.5 and 2.6 (RCP4.5, RCP8.5 and RCP2.6). Thus, climate adaptation strategies that can provide optimal benefits under different climate scenarios should be developed to reduce the impact of future climate change.",{"EN":570,"VI":571},"Statistical bias correction of regional climate model simulations for climate change projection in the Jemma sub-basin, upper Blue Nile Basin of Ethiopia","Hiệu chỉnh độ chệch thống kê của các mô phỏng mô hình khí hậu khu vực cho dự phóng biến đổi khí hậu ở tiểu lưu vực Jemma, thượng lưu lưu vực sông Nile Xanh của Ethiopia",{"VOID":573},"Abdo KS, Fiseha BM, Rientjes THM, Gieske ASM, Haile AT (2009) Assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology of Gilgel Abay catchment in Lake Tana Basin. 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Climate Data and Monitoring WCDMP-No. 72. Geneva, Switzerland\nWMO (World Meteorological Organization) (2009) Guidelines on: analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation. Climate Data and Monitoring WCDMP-No 72\nWoldemeskel FM, Sharma A, Sivakumar B, Mehrotra R (2015) Quantification of precipitation and temperature uncertainties simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 107, 3–17. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1029\u002F2002JD002155\nWorku G, Teferi E, Bantider A, Dile YT (2018a) Observed changes in extremes of daily rainfall and temperature in Jemma Sub-Basin, Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Dyn Atmos Oceans 135:839–854. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1007\u002Fs00704-018-2412-x\nWorku G, Teferi E, Bantider A, Dile YT, Taye MT (2018b) Evaluation of regional climate models performance in simulating rainfall climatology of Jemma sub-basin, upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. 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J Climate 5:1097–1108",{"doi":1110},"10.1175\u002F1520-0442(1992)005\u003C1097:TACASS>2.0.CO;2",{"id":1112,"createTime":1113,"updateTime":1114,"relativeEntities":1115,"slug":1116,"properties":1117,"entityType":275,"verifyStatus":389,"verifyTime":1128,"verifyNote":391,"languages":1129,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":21,"primaryUrl":1130,"fullTextUrl":20,"authors":1131,"publicationType":322,"publisherRelationship":1187,"citationCount":21,"citationInfo":1230,"publishDate":20,"publishYear":20,"citationAnalyzeStatus":863,"lastCitationAnalyze":1232,"indexDatabases":1233,"openAccess":20,"references":1234,"isForceReanalyzing":374},"6dc489e5-af6d-4ed4-802b-cc0f93166617","2024-04-16T10:05:00.337+00:00","2026-08-17T21:38:17.067+00:00",[],"Projections-of-meteorological-drought-events-in-the-upper-K%C4%B1z%C4%B1l%C4%B1rmak-basin-under-climate-change-scenarios",{"openalex":1118,"abstract":1120,"title":1122,"gsPaper":1124,"doi":1126},{"VOID":1119},"W4394786371",{"EN":1121},"\u003Cjats:title>Abstract\u003C\u002Fjats:title>\u003Cjats:p>Climate change, whose negative impacts are becoming increasingly apparent as a result of human actions, intensifies the drought problems to dangerous levels. The development of local-scale drought projections is crucial to take necessary precautions for potential risks and possible effects of drought. In this study, drought analysis was conducted in the Upper Kızılırmak Basin using the standard precipitation index (SPI) method for the near future (2020–2049), mid-century (2050–2074), and late century (2075–2099). The precipitation data required for the SPI were gathered from the data sets developed for the SSP climate change scenarios of the four chosen global climate models. Precipitation data has been made more convenient for local analysis studies with the statistical downscaling method. Forecasts have been created for the temporal variation and spatial distribution of drought events. The study findings indicate that, under the SSP 2-4.5 scenario, drought-related effects of climate change will decrease until 2100. On the other hand, the number and severity of drought events, as well as the duration of dry periods, will increase until 2100 under the SSP 5-8.5 scenario. According to the SSP 5-8.5 scenario, consisting of the most pessimistic forecasts, moderate drought will last 0–60 months, severe drought will last 0–30 months, and extreme drought will last 0–20 months in different regions of the area in the late century. The spatial distribution of droughts will differ based on the SPI index and climate change scenarios. Comparison of SPI and CZI data showed that both indices are effective in meteorological drought analyses.\u003C\u002Fjats:p>",{"EN":1123},"Projections of meteorological drought events in the upper Kızılırmak basin under climate change 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Hydrol Process 16:1807–1829. doi: 10.1002\u002Fhyp.1095",{"doi":1684},"10.1002\u002Fhyp.1095",{"id":1686,"createTime":1687,"updateTime":1688,"relativeEntities":1689,"slug":1690,"properties":1691,"entityType":275,"verifyStatus":389,"verifyTime":1702,"verifyNote":391,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":21,"primaryUrl":1703,"fullTextUrl":20,"authors":1704,"publicationType":322,"publisherRelationship":1756,"citationCount":119,"citationInfo":1804,"publishDate":1806,"publishYear":372,"citationAnalyzeStatus":863,"lastCitationAnalyze":1807,"indexDatabases":1808,"openAccess":20,"references":20,"isForceReanalyzing":374},"c432b8ab-96e9-4eba-8104-49f8c77ac3b4","2024-01-04T18:40:14.678+00:00","2026-08-17T05:02:38.655+00:00",[],"Application-of-machine-learning-for-solar-radiation-modeling",{"abstract":1692,"title":1694,"gsPaper":1696,"references":1698,"doi":1700},{"EN":1693},"Solar radiation is an important parameter that affects the atmosphere-earth thermal balance and many water and soil processes such as evapotranspiration and plant growth. The modeling of the daily and monthly solar radiation by Gaussian process regression (GPR) with K-fold cross-validation model has been discussed recently. This study evaluated different neural models such as artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and multiple linear regression (MLR) for estimating the global solar radiation (daily and monthly) with K-fold cross-validation method. For the appropriate comparison of the models, the randomized complete block (RCB) design applied in the training and test phases. Also, different data sets were evaluated by K-fold cross-validation in each model. The results showed that radial basis function (RBF) model has the lowest error for estimating the monthly and daily solar radiation. In this study, the result of RBF was compared with the GPR models. The conclusion indicated that RBF methodology can predict solar radiation with higher accuracy relative to the GPR model. The results of yearly solar radiation estimation (2009–2014) showed that the RBF model can estimate solar radiation with the MAPE and RMSE of 5.1% and 0.29, respectively. Also, the coefficient of correlation (R2) between actual and estimated values throughout the year is 98% and can be used by the engineers and other researchers for solar and thermal applications.",{"EN":1695},"Application of machine learning for solar radiation modeling",{"VOID":1697},"[\"5513066080383138871\"]",{"VOID":1699},"Alizamir M, Kim S, Kisi O, Zounemat-Kermani M (2020) A comparative study of several machine learning based non-linear regression methods in estimating solar radiation: case studies of the USA and Turkey regions. Energy 197:117239\nAmini S, Taki M, Rohani A (2020) Applied improved RBF neural network model for predicting the broiler output energies. 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Energy Sourc A Recov Utiliz Environ Effects 42(13):1618–1632. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1080\u002F15567036.2019.1604872\nBurari F, Sambo A, Mshelia E (2001) Estimation of global solar radiation in Bauchi, Nig. J Ren Energy 9:34–36\nCao H, Xin Y, Yuan Q (2016) Modeling of biochar yield from cattle manure pyrolysis via least squares support vector machine intelligent approach. Bioresour Technol 202:158–164\nChandola D, Gupta H, Tikkiwal VA, Bohra MK (2020) Multi-step ahead forecasting of global solar radiation for arid zones using deep learning. Proc Comp Sci 167:626–635\nChe Y, Chen L, Zheng J, Yuan L, Xiao F (2019) A novel hybrid model of WRF and clearness index-based Kalman filter for day-ahead solar radiation forecasting. Appl Sci 9(19):3967. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.3390\u002Fapp9193967\nChen R, Ersi K, Yang J, Lu S, Zhao W (2004) Validation of five global radiation models with measured daily data in China. Energy Convers Manag 45:1759–1769\nChen J-L, Li G-S, Wu S-J (2013) Assessing the potential of support vector machine for estimating daily solar radiation using sunshine duration. Energy Convers Manag 75:311–318\nChen J-L, Li G-S, Xiao B-B, Wen Z-F, Lv M-Q, Chen C-D, Jiang Y, Wang X-X, Wu S-J (2015) Assessing the transferability of support vector machine model for estimation of global solar radiation from air temperature. Energy Convers Manag 89:318–329\nFarhadi R, Taki M (2020) The energy gain reduction due to shadow inside a flat-plate solar collector. Renew Energy 147:730–740\nFerreira PM, Gomes JM, Martins IA, Ruano AE (2012) A neural network based intelligent predictive sensor for cloudiness, solar radiation and air temperature. Sensors 12:15750–15777\nFu Z, Cheng J, .Yang M, Batista J, Jiang Y. 2020. Wastewater discharge quality prediction using stratified sampling and wavelet de-noising ANFIS model. Comput Electr Eng 85: 106701.\nGarba AA, Amusat RO, Ngadda YH (2016) Estimation of global solar radiation using sunshine-based model in Maiduguri, North East, Nigeria. Appl Res J 2:19–26\nGhimire S, Deo RC, Raj N, Mi J (2019) Deep solar radiation forecasting with convolutional neural network and long short-term memory network algorithms. Appl Energy 253:113541. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1016\u002Fj.apenergy.2019.113541\nGill J, Singh J, Ohunakin OS, Adelekan DS, Atiba OE, Nkiko MO, Atayero AA (2020) Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach for the irreversibility analysis of a domestic refrigerator system using LPG\u002FTiO 2 nanolubricant. Energy Rep 6:1405–1417\nHematian A, Ajabshirchi Y, Ranjbar SF, Taki M (2019) An experimental analysis of a solar-assisted heat pump (SAHP) system for heating a semisolar greenhouse, Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1080\u002F15567036.2019.1663308\nIsikwue B, Amah A, Agada P (2016) Empirical model for the estimation of global solar radiation in Makurdi, Nigeria. Global J Sci Front Res 12\nJović S, Aničić O, Marsenić M, Nedić B (2016) Solar radiation analyzing by neuro-fuzzy approach. Energy Build 129:261–263\nJung HC, Kim JS, Heo H (2015) Modeling of building energy consumption using an improved real coded genetic algorithm based least squares support vector machine approach. Energy Build 90:76–84\nKalogirou SA (2014) Solar energy engineering: processes and systems, second edn. Academic Press, California\nKhorasanizadeh H, Mohammadi K, Mostafaeipour A (2014) Establishing a diffuse solar radiation model for determining the optimum tilt angle of solar surfaces in Tabass, Iran. Energy Convers Manag 78:805–814\nKirmani S, Jamil M, Rizwan M (2015) Empirical correlation of estimating global solar radiation using meteorological parameters. Int J Sustain Energy 34:327–339\nKumar G, Malik H (2016) Generalized regression neural network based wind speed modeling model for western region of India. Proc Computer Sci 93:26–32\nKutucu, H., Almryad, A., 2016. Modeling of solar energy potential in Libya using an artificial neural network model, Data Stream Mining & Processing (DSMP), IEEE First International Conference on. IEEE, pp. 356-359.\nLinares-Rodriguez A, Ruiz-Arias JA, Pozo-Vazquez D, Tovar-Pescador J (2013) An artificial neural network ensemble model for estimating global solar radiation from Meteosat satellite images. Energy 61:636–645\nLiu Y, Zhou Y, Chen Y, Wang D, Wang Y, Zhu Y (2020) Comparison of support vector machine and copula-based nonlinear quantile regression for estimating the daily diffuse solar radiation: a case study in China. Renew Energy 146:1101–1112\nLockart N, Kavetski D, Franks SW (2015) A new stochastic model for simulating daily solar radiation from sunshine hours. Int J Climatol 35:1090–1106\nMardani Najafabadi M, Taki M (2020) Robust data envelopment analysis with Monte Carlo simulation model for optimization the energy consumption in agriculture. In: Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects. https:\u002F\u002Fdoi.org\u002F10.1080\u002F15567036.2020.1777221\nMecibah MS, Boukelia TE, Benyahia NE (2015) Management and exploitation of direct normal irradiance resources for concentrating solar collectors: Algeria as a case study. Int J Energy Environ Eng 6:65–73\nMellit A, Benghanem M, Arab AH, Guessoum A (2005) A simplified model for generating sequences of global solar radiation data for isolated sites: using artificial neural network and a library of Markov transition matrices approach. Sol Energy 79:469–482\nMellit A, Menghanem M, Bendekhis M (2005) Artificial neural network model for modeling solar radiation data: application for sizing stand-alone photovoltaic power system, IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, 2005. IEEE, New Jersey, pp 40–44\nMohammadi K, Khorasanizadeh H, Shamshirband S, Tong CW (2016) Influence of introducing various meteorological parameters to the Angström–Prescott model for estimation of global solar radiation. Environ Earth Sci 75:1–12\nMohammadi K, Shamshirband S, Kamsin A, Lai P, Mansor Z (2016) Identifying the most significant input parameters for predicting global solar radiation using an ANFIS selection procedure. Renew Sust Energ Rev 63:423–434\nMohammadi K, Shamshirband S, Tong CW, Alam KA, Petković D (2015) Potential of adaptive neuro-fuzzy system for modeling of daily global solar radiation by day of the year. Energy Convers Manag 93:406–413\nMohammadi K, Shamshirband S, Tong CW, Arif M, Petković D, Ch S (2015) A new hybrid support vector machine–wavelet transform approach for estimation of horizontal global solar radiation. Energy Convers Manag 92:162–171\nMotahari-Nezhad M, Jafari SM (2020) ANFIS system for prognosis of dynamometer high-speed ball bearing based on frequency domain acoustic emission signals. Measurement 165:108154\nNamrata, K., Sharma, S., Saksena, S., 2013. Comparison of different models for estimation of global solar radiation in Jharkhand (India) region.\nNoriega Angarita, E., Sousa Santos, V., Quintero Duran, M.J., Gil Arrieta, C., 2016. Solar Radiation Modeling for Dimensioning Photovoltaic Systems Using Artificial Neural Networks.\nOgunsanwo F, Adepitan J, Ozebo V, Ayanda J (2016) Empirical model for estimation of global radiation from sunshine duration of Ijebu-Ode. Int J Phys Sci 11:32–39\nOlatomiwa L, Mekhilef S, Shamshirband S, Mohammadi K, Petković D, Sudheer C (2015) A support vector machine–firefly algorithm-based model for global solar radiation modeling. Sol Energy 115:632–644\nOlatomiwa L, Mekhilef S, Shamshirband S, Petkovic D (2015) Potential of support vector regression for solar radiation modeling in Nigeria. Nat Hazards 77:1055–1068\nOlatomiwa L, Mekhilef S, Shamshirband S, Petković D (2015) Adaptive neuro-fuzzy approach for solar radiation modeling in Nigeria. Renew Sust Energ Rev 51:1784–1791\nPanahi M, Gayen A, Pourghasemi HR, Rezaie F, Lee S (2020) Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using hybrid support vector regression (SVR) and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with various metaheuristic algorithms. Sci Total Environ 741:139937\nPiri J, Shamshirband S, Petković D, Tong CW, ur Rehman MH (2015) Modeling of the solar radiation on the Earth using support vector regression technique. Infrared Phys Technol 68:179–185\nRahimikhoob A (2010) Estimating global solar radiation using artificial neural network and air temperature data in a semi-arid environment. Renew Energy 35:2131–2135\nRazmjoo A, Qolipour M (2016) Technical-Economic Evaluation of Solar Energy Potential for the City of Ahvaz. Int J Renew Energy Technol Res 5:1–10\nRehman S, Mohandes M (2008) Artificial neural network estimation of global solar radiation using air temperature and relative humidity. Energy Policy 36:571–576\nRohani A, Taki M, Abdollahpour M (2018) A novel soft computing model (Gaussian process regression with K-fold cross validation) for daily and monthly solar radiation forecasting (Part: I). Renew Energy 115:411–422\nRohani A, Taki M, Bahrami G (2019) Application of artificial intelligence for separation of live and dead rainbow trout fish eggs. Artific Intellig Agricult 1:27–34\nSabet Sarvestani N, Rohani A, Farzad A, Aghkhani MH (2016) Modeling of specific fuel consumption and emission parameters of compression ignition engine using nano fluid combustion experimental data. Fuel Process Technol 154:37–43\nSaoud LS, Rahmoune F, Tourtchine V, Baddari K (2016) A novel method to forecast 24 h of global solar irradiation. Energy Syst:1–23\nShamshirband S, Mohammadi K, Khorasanizadeh H, Yee L, Lee M, Petković D, Zalnezhad E (2016) Estimating the diffuse solar radiation using a coupled support vector machine–wavelet transform model. 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J Neurosci Methods 338:108686",{"VOID":1701},"10.1007\u002Fs00704-020-03484-x","2024-05-16T07:08:11.801+00:00","https:\u002F\u002Flink.springer.com\u002Farticle\u002F10.1007\u002Fs00704-020-03484-x",[1705,1722,1739],{"id":1706,"sortIndex":21,"researcher":20,"roles":1707,"affiliations":1708,"properties":1717,"displayName":1719,"givenName":20,"familyName":20},"8f30ace1-f6ea-4545-a7a2-11f4777424a6",[283],[1709],{"id":1710,"sortIndex":21,"affiliation":1711,"properties":20},"937838d6-fda7-4be9-8a62-81958c1687e7",{"id":1710,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":1712,"slug":20,"properties":1713,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":1716,"statistic":20},[],{"title":1714},{"VI":1715},"Department of Agricultural Machinery and Mechanization, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering and Rural Development, Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University of Khuzestan, Mollasani, Iran",[],{"title":1718,"gsAuthor":1720},{"VI":1719},"Morteza Taki",{"VOID":1721},"[\"9FWme4ohTI8C\"]",{"id":1723,"sortIndex":149,"researcher":20,"roles":1724,"affiliations":1725,"properties":1734,"displayName":1736,"givenName":20,"familyName":20},"c8136038-95fc-4cb9-b70d-146e28d1ee15",[283],[1726],{"id":1727,"sortIndex":21,"affiliation":1728,"properties":20},"0e0cf3b7-0e7e-4c46-a215-366993d985b5",{"id":1727,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":1729,"slug":20,"properties":1730,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":1733,"statistic":20},[],{"title":1731},{"EN":1732},"Department of Biosystems Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran",[],{"title":1735,"gsAuthor":1737},{"VI":1736},"Abbas 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study the spatio-temporal variability of Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) and associated integrated water vapor and atmospheric parameters over the Euro-Atlantic region using long-term reanalysis datasets. Winds, temperature, and specific humidity at different pressure levels during 1979–2018 are used to study the water vapor transport integrated between 1000 and 300 hPa (IVT300) in mapping ARs. The intensity of ARs in the North Atlantic has been increasing in recent times (2009–2018) with large decadal variability and poleward shift (~ 5° towards the North) in landfall during 1999–2018. Though different reanalysis datasets show similar spatial patterns of IVT300 in mapping ARs, bias in specific humidity and wind components led to IVT300 mean bias of 50 kg m−1 s−1 in different reanalysis products compared to ERA5. The magnitude of winds and specific humidity in the lower atmosphere (below 750 hPa) dominates the total column water vapor and intensity of ARs in the North Atlantic. Reanalysis datasets in the central North Atlantic show an IVT300 standard deviation of 200 kg m−1 s−1 which is around 33% of the ARs climatology (~ 600 kg m−1 s−1). Though ARs have a higher frequency of landfalling over Western Europe in winter half-year, the intensity of IVT300 in winter ARs is 3% lower than the annual mean. The lower frequency of ARs in the summer half-year shows 3% higher IVT300 than the annual mean. While ARs in the North Atlantic show a strong decadal change in frequency and path, the impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Scandinavian blocking on the location of landfall of ARs are significant. Furthermore, there is a strong latitudinal dependence of the source of moisture flux in the open ocean, contributing to the formation and strengthening ARs.",{"EN":1819},"Spatio-temporal variability of atmospheric rivers and associated atmospheric parameters in the Euro-Atlantic region",{"VOID":1435},{"VOID":1822},"Algarra I, Nieto R, Ramos AM, Eiras-Barca J, Trigo RM, Gimeno L (2020) Significant increase of global anomalous moisture uptake feeding landfalling Atmospheric Rivers. 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Geophys Res Lett 21(18):1999–2002",{"VOID":1824},"10.1007\u002Fs00704-021-03776-w","2024-06-25T07:29:04.706+00:00","https:\u002F\u002Flink.springer.com\u002F10.1007\u002Fs00704-021-03776-w",[1828,1861,1881],{"id":1829,"sortIndex":21,"researcher":20,"roles":1830,"affiliations":1831,"properties":1858,"displayName":1860,"givenName":20,"familyName":20},"d9c2cf44-9f0e-4ee0-9240-7facf63d8ea9",[283],[1832,1840,1849],{"id":1833,"sortIndex":21,"affiliation":1834,"properties":20},"b1a80be4-b286-43f4-88ae-5445f3ed1d12",{"id":1833,"createTime":20,"updateTime":20,"relativeEntities":1835,"slug":20,"properties":1836,"entityType":20,"verifyStatus":20,"verifyTime":20,"verifyNote":20,"languages":20,"translateLanguages":20,"viewCount":20,"url":20,"parentIds":1839,"statistic":20},[],{"title":1837},{"VI":1838},"Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 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the recent global warming hiatus and the warming on high elevations are attracting worldwide attention, this study examined the robustness of the warming slowdown over the Tibetan plateau (TP) and its related driving forces. By integrating multiple-source data from 1982 to 2015 and using trend analysis, we found that the mean temperature (Tmean), maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) showed a slowdown of the warming trend around 1998, during the period of the global warming hiatus. This was found over both the growing season (GS) and non-growing season (NGS) and suggested a robust warming hiatus over the TP. Due to the differences in trends of Tmax and Tmin, the trend of diurnal temperature range (DTR) also shifted after 1998, especially during the GS temperature. The warming rate was spatially heterogeneous. The northern TP (NTP) experienced more warming than the southern TP (STP) in all seasons from 1982 to 1998, while the pattern was reversed in the period from 1998 to 2015. Water vapour was found to be the main driving force for the trend in Tmean and Tmin by influencing downward long wave radiation. Sunshine duration was the main driving force behind the trend in Tmax and DTR through a change in downward shortwave radiation that altered the energy source of daytime temperature. Water vapour was the major driving force for temperature change over the NTP, while over the STP, sunshine duration dominated the temperature trend.",{"EN":1955},"Warming slowdown over the Tibetan plateau in recent decades",{"VOID":1957},"[\"7460321491577774650\"]",{"VOID":1959},"An ZS, Kutzbach JE, Prell WL, Porter SC (2001) Evolution of Asian monsoons and phased uplift of the Himalayan Tibetan plateau since late Miocene times. Nature 411:62–66\nAn WL, Hou SG, Zhang WB, Wu SY, Xu H, Pang HX, Wang YT, Liu YP (2016) Possible recent warming hiatus on the northwestern Tibetan plateau derived from ice core records. Sci Rep 6:8\nCai DL, You QL, Fraedrich K, Guan YN (2017) Spatiotemporal temperature variability over the Tibetan plateau: altitudinal dependence associated with the global warming hiatus. J Clim 30:969–984\nCowtan K, Way RG (2014) Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends. Q J R Meteorol Soc 140:1935–1944\nDing M, Li L, Zhang Y, Liu L, Wang Z (2014) Temperature change and its elevation dependency on the Tibetan plateau and its vicinity from 1971 to 2012. Resour Sci 36:1509–1518\nDuan AM, Xiao ZX (2015) Does the climate warming hiatus exist over the Tibetan plateau? Sci Rep 5:9\nDuan JP, Li L, Fang YJ (2015) Seasonal spatial heterogeneity of warming rates on the Tibetan plateau over the past 30 years. Sci Rep 5:8\nEasterling DR, Wehner MF (2009) Is the climate warming or cooling? Geophys Res Lett 36:3\nFyfe JC, Gillett NP, Zwiers FW (2013a) Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years. Nat Clim Chang 3:767–769\nFyfe JC, von Salzen K, Cole JNS, Gillett NP, Vernier JP (2013b) Surface response to stratospheric aerosol changes in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model. Geophys Res Lett 40:584–588\nFyfe JC, Meehl GA, England MH, Mann ME, Santer BD, Flato GM, Hawkins E, Gillett NP, Xie SP, Kosaka Y, Swart NC (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nat Clim Chang 6:224–228\nGao YH, Cuo L, Zhang YX (2014) Changes in moisture flux over the Tibetan plateau during 1979-2011 and possible mechanisms. J Clim 27:1876–1893\nGao YH, Xu JW, Chen DL (2015) Evaluation of WRF mesoscale climate simulations over the Tibetan plateau during 1979-2011. J Clim 28:2823–2841\nGuemas V, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Andreu-Burillo I, Asif M (2013) Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade. Nat Clim Chang 3:649–653\nGuo DL, Wang HJ (2012) The significant climate warming in the northern Tibetan plateau and its possible causes. Int J Climatol 32:1775–1781\nHaywood JM, Jones A, Jones GS (2014) The impact of volcanic eruptions in the period 2000-2013 on global mean temperature trends evaluated in the HadGEM2-ES climate model. 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Nature 501:403–407\nLi QX, Yang S, Xu WH, Wang XLL, Jones P, Parker D, Zhou LM, Feng Y, Gao Y (2015) China experiencing the recent warming hiatus. Geophys Res Lett 42:889–898\nLiu XD, Cheng ZG, Yan LB, Yin ZY (2009) Elevation dependency of recent and future minimum surface air temperature trends in the Tibetan plateau and its surroundings. Glob Planet Chang 68:164–174\nMann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245–259\nMauritsen T (2016) Global warming clouds cooled the earth. Nat Geosci 9:865–867\nMears CA, Wentz FJ, Thorne P, Bernie D (2011) Assessing uncertainty in estimates of atmospheric temperature changes from MSU and AMSU using a Monte-Carlo estimation technique. J Geophys Res-Atmos 116:16\nMeehl GA, Arblaster JM, Fasullo JT, Hu AX, Trenberth KE (2011) Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods. Nat Clim Chang 1:360–364\nMorice CP, Kennedy JJ, Rayner NA, Jones PD (2012) Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: the HadCRUT4 data set. J Geophys Res-Atmos 117:22\nNaud CM, Miller JR, Landry C (2012) Using satellites to investigate the sensitivity of longwave downward radiation to water vapor at high elevations. J Geophys Res-Atmos 117:12\nPepin N, Bradley RS, Diaz HF, Baraer M, Caceres EB, Forsythe N, Fowler H, Greenwood G, Hashmi MZ, Liu XD, Miller JR, Ning L, Ohmura A, Palazzi E, Rangwala I, Schoner W, Severskiy I, Shahgedanova M, Wang MB, Williamson SN, Yang DQ, Mt Res Initiative EDWWG (2015) Elevation-dependent warming in mountain regions of the world. Nat Clim Chang 5:424–430\nPiao SL, Tan K, Nan HJ, Ciais P, Fang JY, Wang T, Vuichard N, Zhu BA (2012) Impacts of climate and CO2 changes on the vegetation growth and carbon balance of Qinghai-Tibetan grasslands over the past five decades. 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J Geophys Res-Atmos 112:7\nSanter BD, Bonfils C, Painter JF, Zelinka MD, Mears C, Solomon S, Schmidt GA, Fyfe JC, Cole JNS, Nazarenko L, Taylor KE, Wentz FJ (2014) Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature. Nat Geosci 7:185–189\nSmith DM, Booth BBB, Dunstone NJ, Eade R, Hermanson L, Jones GS, Scaife AA, Sheen KL, Thompson V (2016) Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown. Nat Clim Chang 6:936–940\nSolomon S, Rosenlof KH, Portmann RW, Daniel JS, Davis SM, Sanford TJ, Plattner GK (2010) Contributions of stratospheric water vapor to decadal changes in the rate of global warming. Science 327:1219–1223\nSolomon S, Daniel JS, Neely RR, Vernier JP, Dutton EG, Thomason LW (2011) The persistently variable “background” stratospheric aerosol layer and global climate change. 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